#Polymarket

USTA Picks Kalshi Over Polymarket: The Battle for the U.S. Sports Prediction...

Hook Is this the beginning of the end for unregulated prediction markets in t...

While the market celebrates the White House's embrace of crypto, the on-chain...

Every public company CEO now has a price. Not the share price. Not the bond...

On July 29, Polymarket traders assigned an 82% probability to a familiar...

A prediction market contract currently prices the odds of a US-Iran diplomati...

The number stares back: 15.5%. That is the implied probability, as of last...

Probability is not prediction. It is a price tag on chaos, determined by the...

The Polymarket prediction pushed a cold calculation into my feed: barely 1.2%...

Zero knowledge isn't magic; it's math you can verify. But in the summer of...

Hook On May 21, 2024, the Polymarket contract “Will Ukraine recapture Crimea ...

On Polymarket, the probability of crude oil hitting a new all-time high befor...

We didn't see the goal coming. But the on-chain data told us the market was...

Over the past seven days, Polymarket's "Netanyahu to visit US" contract saw a...

In the first half of 2025, Kalshi spent $990,000 on lobbying — nearly matchin...

One million agentic transactions. RippleX dropped that number with a confiden...

Observe a single data point: 45.5%. That is the reported probability, sourced...

46.5%. That's the probability Polymarket assigns to Iran closing its airspace...

On Polymarket, the prediction for crude oil hitting a new all-time high by...

The insurance industry has never been a primary source of liquidity for crypt...

The ledger remembers what the market forgets—and the market has already...

On any given Tuesday, you can open a prediction market dashboard and see two...

The data shows a 29.5% probability on Polymarket for a US strike on Iran...

The data shows a quiet but decisive move on March 18: the White House Office ...

Tracing the liquidity ghosts through the ICO fog. A weekly roundup from Crypt...

The silence between the code and the chaos is where I map the next narrative....

On a quiet Tuesday morning, a vessel off the coast of Dibba was struck by an...

The data suggests a 500 billion dollar transaction volume spike during the...

The number stares at me from the screen: 0.86 USDC per YES share on Polymarke...

The data shows a 21% probability that Russian forces enter Slavyansk by 2026....

A flicker of activity on Polygon catches my eye. Over the past 24 hours, a...

Contrary to the crypto echo chamber's obsession with internal protocol risks,...

The market says 57%. Not 50. Not 60. A single Polymarket contract on U.S....

Hook A flash news item crosses my terminal: "Iran Deal Odds Tumble to 25.5% o...

A single number. 25.5%. That's the probability, as of this morning, that in...

On the surface, it’s just another celebrity sports wager. Drake, the Canadian...

The logs show a paradox. At timestamp June 2025, the French National Gambling...

A House hearing this week on the CLARITY Act dropped a number that stung:...

The numbers hit my screen before the coffee did. 59.5% YES. That’s the market...

They buried the truth in the gas fees of 2020. But in 2026, the signal isn’t ...

A prediction market on Polymarket is pricing a Middle East conflict at 99.9%...

The news broke at 3:42 PM Bangkok time: Declan Rice was doubtful for England’...

The data does not lie. Over the past 30 days, on-chain volume for esports...

Hook On-chain data does not lie. On March 12, 2026, at 14:23 UTC, the officia...

Breaking: 2026.08.01 – The Chrome Web Store will enforce a new “Advanced Trus...

The final whistle of the 2026 World Cup final blew, and with it came a flurry...

Predictability is a myth; only volatility is real. On a quiet Tuesday...

The odds didn’t just shift; they cratered. I was mid-scroll through my Telegr...

Consider the moment when a prediction market becomes a litmus test for free...

A single missile hit Ali al-Tahir Heights at 02:14 UTC on July 17. Polymarket...